Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 93858.436856 98954.976049 104046.234903 109510.385657 115205.188133 120961.889206 127217.450241
2025-06-01 86176.503470 94040.236275 102110.910759 111002.366452 120512.207362 130367.623522 141342.264537
2025-06-08 79544.901412 89231.102384 99388.259181 110811.367029 123277.815817 136447.443206 151388.983231
2025-06-15 75646.856167 86821.741214 98749.734121 112392.437888 127526.723965 143763.200684 162460.700092
2025-06-22 72041.779896 84371.277869 97738.657679 113254.322241 130712.052343 149691.496329 171827.958821
2025-06-29 68523.710376 81747.053811 96288.745755 113393.722716 132886.553876 154331.430296 179628.227495
2025-07-06 65399.333516 79364.941224 94925.568393 113453.940775 134815.603328 158570.603408 186880.120002
2025-07-13 63730.823001 78535.184094 95224.856699 115314.563865 138715.579582 164985.993324 196574.670097
2025-07-20 62083.161810 77622.212675 95334.831105 116874.192031 142205.726770 170894.792961 205678.818304
2025-07-27 60225.415911 76360.881678 94950.067438 117777.082955 144869.804678 175811.079144 213621.092588
2025-08-03 58071.155875 74647.203344 93943.728645 117865.579265 146510.750090 179490.122602 220095.814660
2025-08-10 56246.069932 73252.935897 93247.705264 118258.992212 148460.075953 183495.158213 226937.316746
2025-08-17 54350.774809 71728.072415 92363.359098 118410.232366 150126.138499 187197.614931 233488.424349
2025-08-24 53167.797066 71039.495101 92460.079624 119725.744949 153183.353306 192563.579465 242054.785625
2025-08-31 51269.117950 69386.357812 91311.082491 119460.473857 154277.664989 195550.723751 247762.271745
2025-09-07 50432.173571 69037.686761 91746.591169 121126.562766 157721.081770 201373.229446 256913.025187
2025-09-14 49290.346922 68254.979538 91601.812742 122039.114241 160216.204547 206040.270603 264677.051198
2025-09-21 47857.385684 67047.589546 90878.137458 122186.483134 161732.353739 209495.818704 270963.368789
2025-09-28 46463.078090 65844.474867 90118.332765 122250.294727 163114.571255 212769.735220 277025.245567
2025-10-05 45993.893101 65835.132918 90870.034423 124226.959679 166900.612070 219025.761071 286798.732426
2025-10-12 45412.663518 65653.310089 91380.983439 125883.602896 170281.097051 224791.138623 295996.285538
2025-10-19 44563.393626 65084.413151 91365.254055 126842.546168 172765.038664 229441.142549 303825.136244
2025-10-26 43391.815843 64046.113828 90704.344224 126936.531682 174122.545915 232669.494371 309880.278582